There are very few things better than overreacting to an early NBA playoff game, but my one big overreaction doesn’t look at all like coming into Monday’s Game 2 between the Golden State Warriors and the Denver Nuggets.
The Warriors, who entered the playoffs at +900 to win the NBA title, went down to +600 at WynnBET Sportsbook . As someone with a future on the Phoenix Suns, I made the executive decision to bet the Warriors at +650 on Sunday after dominating Game 1 against Denver.
That may seem like an overreaction, as Golden State could very well lose tonight, but I don’t think that’s the case. The warriors were dominant Saturday night, and they even topped Nikola Jokic’s minutes for Denver, trailing the Nuggets by 19 points when their MVP candidate was on the floor.
Perhaps more important for the Warriors was the fact that Steph Curry looked as healthy as ever on his return to the field, coming off the bench and scoring 16 points in 22 minutes. He was a plus-17 in the game and he was the driving force behind Golden State’s success all season long.
Curry’s return is a big reason I’m betting on Golden State, but it’s not the only one.
The Warriors’ offense really slowed after a strong start to the season, but that was largely due to injuries to Curry and Draymond Green.
Golden State finished the regular season with the No. 16 offensive rating in the NBA, but it looked like a well-oiled machine with Curry, Thompson, Green and Jordan Poole all in the lineup.
Poole was arguably the best player on the court in Game 1, scoring 30 points on 9-of-13 shooting from the field, and he adds a whole new dynamic to this team. Poole gives the Warriors another primary ball handler who can create his own shot and create for others when Curry isn’t in the game.
I honestly think he’s the best No. 3 option the Warriors have put next to Curry and Thompson who isn’t named Kevin Durant.
The Warriors have been strong defensively all season, and now they also have the depth to get teams out of the gym, going 10 deep on Saturday without playing lottery picks Moses Moody and Jonathan Kuminga.
As long as Curry stays healthy, the Warriors are by far the second-best team in the West, and they’ve shown they can hang on and beat the Suns this season. I’m not going to count the Curry-Thompson-Green trio in a playoff series, no matter who they play.
Yes, the playoffs are long and Golden State has only played one game so far, but it gave me a glimpse of what this team can be.
The “deadly” Curry-Klay-Poole-Green-Wiggins roster makes Golden State one of the toughest teams to face in the playoffs, and they’ve always been able to hang on defensively with whoever was there, despite the lack of size.
Golden State, Phoenix and Milwaukee are my top three teams to win the title, and now I hold a future ticket to each of them.
If you haven’t bet Golden State yet, you might want to do so before The Warriors put on another show in Game 2.
Find Peter Dewey’s complete betting record in the NBA this season here.