UFC 276 odds and picks for best proposition bets (2022)

UFC 276 is scheduled to begin this Saturday at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada. We’re in store for one of the best cards in recent memory as we have two title fights and a slew of other top fighters to start the night.

Below, I’ll run through my top three prop bets for this stacked card.

These games represent one unit each or one percent of your betting bankroll. Follow me on twitter to get all my parts the days without full descriptions.

Odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook.

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Jim Miller will win via KO/TKO in Round 1 (+600)

We’ll be looking to start the night off with a bang as two longtime UFC veterans square off in this welterweight bout between Jim Miller and Donald Cerrone. This fight may be one of our last chances to knock Cerrone out as he has one foot out of the gate at this point in his career.

Cerrone has now lost five of his last six fights, the only unbeaten being a majority draw that was overturned to a no contest after Niko Price was suspended by the Nevada State Athletic Commission for a drug test positive (marijuana, which is legal in Nevada but against athletic commission laws). While the first three of those five losses were expected as he faced Ferguson/Gaethje/McGregor, it’s the last two losses that should worry Cerrone fans.

In May 2020, Cerrone lost to Anthony Pettis as Pettis was about to retire and had lost three of his last four fights before (Pettis now fights in the PFL). A year later, Cerrone faced Alex Morono and was knocked out in the first round by a guy who had only had one knockout in his 12-fight UFC career prior to that fight.

Of Cerrone’s last four losses, three have been by first-round knockout. Meanwhile, veteran Jim Miller remains in good form as he has won each of his last two fights by knockout.

André Muniz via Decision (+600)

Immediately after the Miller/Cerrone fight, we have a middleweight fight between Uriah Hall and Andre Muniz. Opening as a heavy betting favorite, Muniz will look to stay perfect in the UFC and pick up his seventh straight win (two of those previous six wins were in the DWCS).

We have a clash of styles in this contest as Muniz will look to bring this to the mat while Hall will want to keep this on the feet. Although I expect Muniz to win this fight, he may have a hard time finishing Hall struggling.

We saw the exact same scenario play out in Hall’s last fight against Sean Strickland. While Strickland made four out of six takedown attempts, he was unable to finish Hall and won the fight via unanimous decision.

This Hall/Strickland was also a five-round fight, whereas this fight will only last three rounds. Hall is tough as nails and hasn’t been finished in five straight fights.

This is by far Muniz’s biggest test of his career but he should be ready for it and I think it will be by decision as he should just dominate the fight on the mat.

Jalin Turner by submission (+700)

In the final bout of the preliminaries, we have a light fight between Brad Riddell and Jalin Turner. This should be a fascinating fight as Riddell will most likely have to bring this scrap to the mat as he gives up eight inches in height and six inches in reach to Jalin Turner.

The problem for Riddell is that if he does that, Turner can easily counter him and beat him by submission. We’ve seen this play out in two of Turner’s last three fights as he won by rear naked choke against Uros Medic and Brok Weaver.

I don’t really see a way for Riddell to win this fight unless he’s on the floor, which gives us tremendous value to support Turner on the mat. If the fight takes place on the ground for the majority of scrap, this +700 prop will be just as lively as it was for Turner’s last two fights.

Good luck!

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