two totals to bet tuesday

After the end of the weekend’s domestic league matches, the UEFA Champions League is set to return for matchday four of the group stage on Tuesday.

The EH groups will take center stage with Paris Saint-Germain v Benfica and AC Milan v Chelsea serving as the showpiece matches on the card. Elsewhere, Manchester City travel to FC Copenhagen, Juventus visit Maccabi Haifa and Borussia Dortmund welcome Sevilla.

How should football bettors approach this card? Below are my two favorites total bets on the whole list. Odds courtesy of BetMGM and reflective at time of writing.

Manchester City team total in first half over 1.5 (+125) against FC Copenhagen

Despite coming into friendly territory that is the Etihad, Manchester City absolutely made their mark last week against Copenhagen.

In the first 45 minutes alone, the Cityzens scored three goals on 2.28 expected and 2.11 expected goals on target. For the game as a whole, coach Pep Guardiola’s side produced five goals against an expected 4.54 goals and five great chances to score, according to fotmob.com.

So why just target the first half total with the visitors? Well, Manchester City just so happen to face a weekend away at Liverpool – a game-changing game to decide the Premier League title fight – and I wonder if City will be surprised in the second half. Moreover, at last week’s meeting, Guardiola replaced superhuman Erling Haaland at half-time, which naturally led to a drop in production for City.

If City take another early lead, I could see a similar game scenario that sees Manchester City ease off in the second half. Moreover, this remains a Copenhagen side who, in two games against City and Borussia Dortmund, have conceded two or more first-half goals in each.

Considering you get more money with the best attack in the Champions League, I’ll be happy to limit my bet to the first 45 minutes. Move this market up to +105.

Maccabi Haifa/Juventus Over 2.5 goals (-125)

The first meeting between these teams in Turin proved to be a noisy attacking showcase, and I expect no less for the meeting in Israel.

I was quite impressed with Maccabi Haifa’s attack in the first half of the group stage. In three matches, he produced 3.8 expected goals on target and four big chances. Just in their only home game against Paris Saint-Germain, a defense I rate ahead of Juventus, the Israeli side produced 2.04 expected goals on target as well as two great scoring chances.

Still, Haifa only scored two goals from that 3.8 xGOT and one goal from the 2.04 xGOT at home, suggesting that a positive attacking regression may be underway.

That said, I don’t trust this defense of Haifa at all. In his first three group matches, he conceded 7.38 xGOT and allowed all three teams to create at least 1.9 expected goals on target.

Considering Juventus need to chase as many goals as possible to improve their goal differential, I expect a smooth attacking style from the Old Lady. Will it lead to a lot of opportunities? Yes, but it will also leave his defense vulnerable at the back.

For these reasons, take over at -135 or better.