Tuley’s Takes Today 10/25: Tuesday’s Best Bet, Updated Betting Stats, Contest Corner – VSiN Exclusive News – News

Monday was a light sports day without an MLB playoff game as the Phillies-Astros World Series was set up with the two teams head-to-head on Sunday.

There were NBA and NHL games scheduled for Monday night, but the focus of the day was clearly Monday night football between the Chicago Bears and New England Patriots, even though the Patriots were the great favourites. In the world of Circa Survivor, which drew a Las Vegas record 6,133 entries at $1,000 each for a football contest, the Patriots were the most picked NFL team with 175 of the 382 entries that entered. the weekend by choosing the favorite. For those unaware, Survivor or Elimination contests require players to choose an NFL team each week to win outright. A defeat and you are eliminated, in addition you can only use a team once during the season. The Bears upset the Patriots 33-14 as 8.5-point underdogs on the road (we posted our “Monday Night Recap” story HERE to leave just 125 live entries in Circa Survivor heading into the weekend). As for our own bet, we lost our best bet of the day (and only bet) on a 2-team, 6-point teaser on the Patriots -2/Under 46 as both legs lost. of Monday’s betting action, including contest corner, then let’s look for a best bet for Tuesday as well as a list of our top bets for NFL Week 8. Note: our Wednesday column will include our “takes” on the full NFL card.

Monday recaps

NFL: The Bears (8.5-point road underdogs) upset the Patriots 33-14 on Monday Night Football to wrap up Week 7 (the game exceeded the betting total by 40 points). The favorites went 9-5 SU on the weekend (absolutely bowled over by the Panthers, Commanders, Giants, Seahawks and Bears), but only 7-7 ATS. The home teams also went 9-5 SU and 7-7 ATS. Over/Unders evenly split 7-7.

More NFLs: The favorites fell to 63-42-1 SU this season with 2 pick-’ems, but the Dogs improved to 59-44-3 ATS (57.3%). Home teams lead 58-47-1 SU with 2 neutral site games, while road teams have improved to 54-49-3 ATS (52.4%). Under betting dropped to 63-44-1 (58.9%), while prime-time under betting fell to 14-8 (63.6%).

NBA: The Underdogs went 5-3 ATS on Monday with all 5 outright upsets: Spurs (+8.5 at Timberwolves), Bulls (+5.5 at Celtics), Blazers (+5 at Nuggets), Raptors (+3, 5 to Heat) and Rockets (+2.5 against Jazz). The home teams went 6-2 SU and ATS. Under bets went 6-2.

More from the NBA: After 7 days of the regular season, the favorites still lead 32-18 SU with 1 pick-’em, but the Dogs have improved to 26-19-5 ATS (57.8%). Home teams regained the 27-24 SU lead, but road teams still lead 26-20-5 ATS (56.5%). Overs still lead 25-23-3 (52.1%).

NHL: The favorites went 3-1 with the Blues-Jets and Maple Leafs-Golden Knight both closing out the pick-’em. The only upset was the Capitals (+115 in a 6-3 win over the Devils). The home teams went 4-2. Under bets also went 4-2. Over the course of the season, favorites lead 57-35 with 5 pick-’ems, home teams lead 56-39 with 2 neutral-site games, and Overs still lead 51-45-1.

Contest corner

Circa Survivor dropped to 125 live entries after NFL Week 7, as there was a high of 175 attendees on the Patriots, who lost 33-14 to the Bears on Monday Night Football. The weekend started with 382 live entries, but 2 of the top 3 picks lost as 70 were on the Buccaneers in addition to the Patriots (175).

Circa Sports Million has a new leader in MERCILESS916-1, who went 3-2 in NFL Week 7 to take 1st place at 27-7-1 (79.4%) with 27.5 points (the wins are worth 1 point, pushes are worth 0.5) of a half point over GAMBLING RATS-1 (26-7-2) and TAIL PARTY-2 (27-8) with 27 points.

The GAMBLING RATS SuperContest leader went just 2-3 in NFL Week 7 but still held on to 1st place at 26-8-1 (76.5%), half a point (d worth 1 point, pushes worth 0.5) ahead of HEINEKEN 21 and ADAM 37 at 26-9.

Tuesday’s catches

Warriors + 2.5 for Suns: There aren’t many choices on a light Tuesday schedule, but it’s not often we get defending champion Warriors as an underdog. The Suns are obviously tough at home, but the Warriors went to Phoenix on Christmas Day last season for a surprise win. We’re going to take Stephen Curry and Co. and trust them to do it again because they sure know how to hold their own in marquee games like this because they’re 9-4 ATS in their 13 last games against a team with a winning record while the Sus are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games against a team with a winning record.

NFL Week 8: Packers + 11.5 to Bills (Circa): Yes, we know the Packers’ shortcomings, and while we didn’t smooth them out on Sunday with the Commanders, we’ve made some money betting against them this season. However, they still shouldn’t be such big underdogs, even for the Bills.

Giants + 3 at Seahawks (Circa): We know the Seahawks are overperforming, especially on offense, but still no respect for the 6-1 Giants. Since Tuesday morning, a few books have moved up to 2.5 and others are adding juice to the +3, so we think subscribers should grab the 3 ASAP.
Steelers + 10.5 to Eagles (DraftKings): The Eagles are the only undefeated team in the league, but the Steelers showed last week in their upset of the Buccaneers and in their sweeping loss to the Dolphins that they can still be live dogs. We were worried this line would drop as well, but a few Las Vegas books (BetMGM, Wynn, and Station Casinos) actually went down to 11.