Top MLB picks June 14: Bet on Freeman to hurt the Angels

There isn’t a single MLB team resting on Tuesday, which means there’s a buffet of betting options available.

The pre-game story: Freddie Freeman has a chance for a big day against a familiar foe, the San Francisco Giants should exploit a throwing lag and Sean Manea hopes to keep the Ks coming.

Find our top MLB picks for June 14 below.

MLB picks preview

  • Freddie Freeman on 0.5 RBI (+175)
  • Giants to beat Royals (-124)
  • Sean Manea 5.5+ strikeouts (-118)

MLB’s Top Picks

Best bet: Freddie Freeman on 0.5 RBI (+175)

Freeman’s first season in Los Angeles saw him produce a similar wRC+ (131) to his career number (138), but his RBI tally (34) failed to impress.

The first baseman should be able to turn that around on Tuesday, thanks in large part to his matchup with Noah Syndergaard.

With drastically reduced speed, Syndergaard is no longer the pitcher he used to be. Without his great heat, the right-hander can no longer reliably miss bats, causing his strikeout rate to have fallen off a cliff.

The right-hander has maintained a respectable ERA (3.67) despite this shortfall, but his xERA (4.57) indicates he’s been lucky so far. That luck should turn against Freeman, who hits well against right-handers in general (141 wRC+) and has a solid history against Syndergaard in particular.

Freeman and Syndergaard have met 24 times in their careers, resulting in a .435 batting average and .783 SLG for the 2020 NL MVP. Most of those at-bats have come when the latter was also a good best pitcher.

Read more: Orioles pick vs. Blue Jays

We like that Freeman does damage against a scaled-down version of the pitcher he’s already mastered, and with Mookie Betts hitting in front of him, there’s always a good chance of base traffic when he’s flat.

Key stat: Freeman has hit .381 with the men on base this season.

Quick Picks

Giants to beat Royals (-124): San Francisco and Kansas City have similar hit totals this season, but the pitching game skews that in favor of the Giants. The Royals send Kris Bubic, who has an 11.9 H/9 on the season with a horrible 9.13 ERA while San Francisco turns to Logan Webb and his respectable 8.5 H/9.

Webb is yet to hit his 2021 highs this season, but he’s well placed against a Royals roster with a wRC+ top 10 against a right-handed pitcher (90). Bubic may not be as bad as he has shown so far, but his career batting average is a workable .260.

Read more: Orioles vs. Blue Jays prop pick

Sean Manea 5.5+ strikeouts (-118): This is a pretty modest line for Manea to cross considering he averages 6.45 strikeouts per game. In this game, he will also benefit from the Cubs’ lack of familiarity with him and the fact that they are hitting at an above average rate (22.7%) against left-handed pitchers.

The former Oakland Athletic has crossed that line in seven of its 11 starts, and three of its misses have come by a single strikeout.

Odds as of 11:53 a.m. ET 6/14/2022.

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Nick Ashbourne writes about sports betting for NorthStar Bets. NorthStar Bets is owned by NordStar Capital, which also owns Torstar, Star’s parent company. Follow him on Twitter: @NickAshbourne

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