Titans vs Packers TNF Odds & Pick: Bet on Team Cold-Weather

Titans vs. Packers on TNF

Both teams are coming off home wins last week after overcoming double-digit deficits.

Green Bay (4-6 straight/4-6 ATS) snapped a five-game losing streak with a 31-28 overtime triumph over Dallas after crawling from a 14-point hole at the fourth quarter. The Packers were 3.5 point underdogs.

Tennessee’s comeback was less spectacular, a 17-10 victory over Denver after trailing by 10 in the second quarter. The Titans (6-3 SU/7-2 ATS) were 2.5 point picks.

The weather could be a problem in this night game at Lambeau Field. For the first time in the league this season, the forecast calls for freezing temperatures at kick-off: 24 degrees with a wind chill of 13 thanks to winds estimated at 12-13 mph.

Two years ago in Week 16, the Titans also visited icy Lambeau and lost 40-14 in which the temperature during the game was 28 degrees (wind chill 16). It was the most lopsided defeat of the season for the AFC South champions, with eventual running champion Derrick Henry “held” 98 yards.

In that encounter, Packers QB Aaron Rodgers and league MVP had perhaps his best game of the year. He had a season-high 84% of his throws (21 for 25 for 231 yards), with four of his passes for touchdowns. In contrast, Titans QB Ryan Tannehill had his worst outing of 2020 by far. He had 33 TD passes and just seven INTs that year while being ranked the league’s No. 5 passer, but in that game he had a passer rating of 40.5 (11-for-24 with two interceptions).

Green Bay QB Aaron Rodgers is featured in our Titans vs Packers odds and predictions. (AP Photo/Morry Gash)

Tannehill and the Titans haven’t played in such frigid conditions since.

Speaking of cold weather play, last season there were 10 games with freezing temperatures at kickoff, with the home team going 7-3, 6-3-1 ATS . But one of those home losses came at Lambeau in the Divisional Round of the playoffs when San Francisco beat the Packers 13-10 as a 5.5-point underdog. This gaming temperature was 14 (zero wind chill).

Point totals have topped five times in those 10 games.

As for last week’s play, in Green Bay’s comeback win, Rodgers had the second-best passing day of anyone this season (based on his passer rating of 146.7). And he may have found a new favorite receiver in North Dakota State rookie Christian Watson.

Until last week, Watson was probably best known as the receiver who dropped Rodgers’ first pass of the season while sprinting down the sideline. Now he will also be remembered for catching three TD passes, his first as a pro, against Dallas and totaling 107 yards.

Tannehill might also have found a new favorite target. Against the Broncos’ vaunted defense, third-year WR Nick Westbrook-Ikhine caught five passes for 119 yards and had Tennessee’s two touchdowns. Previously this year, he had seven receptions and no scores.

Both teams have strong running games. Three times this year, Green Bay has rushed for over 200 yards, including 207 against Dallas. Henry, the 2019-20 rushing champion, leads the Titans’ rushing offense with 923 yards this season, eight shy of league-leading Saquon Barkley’s total.

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Both teams are struggling with injuries ahead of this game on a short rest.

Rodgers is listed as doubtful with a right thumb problem, but he played with that concern last week.

As usual, LT David Bakhtiari and LG Elgton Jenkins, key members of the attacking front, have been sidelined from drills and are listed as questionable with knee injuries.

Tennessee’s main woes are on defense where they were five starters short in games last week. Among them is DE Jeffery Simmons (5.5 sacks), who missed Sunday’s game with an ankle injury. It is also listed as questionable.

Although the Titans were applauded for pushing Kansas City into overtime in a 20-17 loss two weeks ago despite starting a backup to QB Malik Willis, the Tennessee defense couldn’t quit. field. KC ran 91 games – 43 more than the Titans.

Then there’s Tannehill, who missed games in Weeks 8 and 9 with an ankle injury before returning last week. He appeared to aggravate the ankle last week but continued to play. Is it really good?

In summary, go for the cold weather team that should be able to keep the game going against what has been a shorthanded Titans defense.

Prediction: Packers 28, Titans 13

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