Stat Picker Free Tips & Best Bet

Get today’s most interesting horse racing trends and stats with the Stat Picker’s free tips and best bets.

Eshaada – 2:40 PM Haydock Park

Smart Stat: 22% – Jim Crowley strike rate at Haydock Park

Eshaada ended last season on a high with victory in the Fillies’ & Mares’ Stakes at Ascot, producing a career-best to beat Albaflora by a short header. Admittedly, she wasn’t in the same shape when she reappeared at Newbury in May, but that run likely made the cobwebs disappear. She is clearly a very smart filly in her day and a repeat of her Ascot form will give her every chance to get back to winning ways under Jim Crowley, who rides particularly well at this track.

Picual – 16:45 Sandown Park

Smart Stat: 23% – Ryan Moore’s strike rate at Sandown Park

Picual showed improved form to make his handicap debut for Nottingham three weeks ago, winning only by a neck but looking for extra value after being caught further than ideal in a regularly held contest. She is only 4 pounds heavier in the weights today and the small “p” attached to her Timeform rating indicates that she is likely to progress further. Ryan Moore has had plenty of success at Sandown Park in recent years and Picual offers the driver arguably his best opportunity to add to that tally on Saturday.

Spirit of Nguru – 4:55 p.m. Haydock Park

Smart Stat: 22% – William Haggas Strike Rate with Handicap Beginners

Spirit of Nguru well-formed on his debut before recording back-to-back wins at Kempton towards the end of 2021, starting with a rookie venture in November, then defying a penalty to follow in a similar event 16 days later. He’s clearly useful and he’s still early in his career, so he may still have more to offer. With that in mind, there remains quite one to keep on the right side, now moving to handicaps from a BHA opening mark of 89.