Should you bet the Mets to beat the Diamondbacks?


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Throughout the season, we’ll give you MLB betting tips for two games each day and throw a few quick pitches for prop bets, Over-Under bets or moneyline bets on other games.

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New York Mets -125 vs. Arizona Diamondbacks +105

The New York Mets are off to a strong start and are the first team to reach 10 wins. They begin a six-game road trip starting tonight against the Arizona Diamondbacks in the first of a three-game series.

The Diamondbacks got off to a bad start and the Mets are catching a weak team at the right time as their offense is performing very well.

The Mets rank sixth in MLB scoring with an average of 4.79 carries per. They rank sixth for home runs with 14.

The Mets’ pitching staff is the second-best in baseball, posting a 2.52 ERA and allowing 2.64 runs per game. The difference between the two measurements is the number of unearned runs scored by the opponents.

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Trends and Situational Angles

  • The Diamondbacks are 48-111 against a bullpen that is averaging 3.2 innings per game in games played over the past two seasons.
  • The Diamondbacks are 19-46 against teams that average 2.75 or fewer extra hits per game in games played over the past two seasons.
  • The Diamondbacks are 50-111 when facing a team that averages seven or more strikeouts per game by their hitters in games played over the past two seasons.

I like to bet the Mets using the moneyline.

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Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers (Saturday game)

The Phillies will have their ace Zack Wheeler at the start, while the Brewers will counter with Adrian Hauser.

It will be Game 2 of a three-game and part-seven Phillies home series that includes four games against the Colorado Rockies starting Monday.

The Phillies are 4-0 when hosting the Brewers in games played over the past three seasons. Two of those four games went over the total. The average score in those games was the Phillies 4 and the Brewers 3.

Wheeler is 3-1 with a 1.96 ERA and 1.065 WHIP starting against the Brewers. The Phillies are 4-3 in his starts with a 3-4 record over and under.

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In eight seasons, he is 62-52 with a 3.55 ERA in 171 games.

But he’s off to a rocky start to the season with an 0-2 record, 9.39 ERA and 1.830 WHIP. However, Wheeler is better than those numbers, and I expect a solid outing from him against the Brewers.

The Brewers are 14-21, down 16 units per unit bet, against the finance line against a defensive team that allows 0.35 stolen bases or less per game in games played over the past two seasons.

The current line has the Phillies favored at -145 using the moneyline as offered at BetMGM and I like the Phillies using the moneyline.

These are a few other bets and bends that I like on Friday’s schedule.

  • Houston Astros Chas McCormack hits a +460 home run as offered at FanDuel.
  • Arizona’s Ketel Marte 2+ hits at +185 as offered at FanDuel.
  • Saturday – Bryce Harper will hit a home run – line on hold.