There are a ton of ways to bet on the NFL Draft at FanDuel Sports Betting this year, including first-round pick odds for 48 players.
I’ve aggregated some rankings and projected the odds for each player listed so I know where the value exists.
Where could there be betting value? We’ll take a look.
Rankings in the table refer to Best ESPN Player Available rankings (ESPN), NFL Mock Draft Database Big Board Consensus rankings (MDD), and Grinding the Mocks’ expected draft position (GTM).
Trevor Penning | -700 | 25 | 21 | 16.4 | 20.8 |
Treylon Burk | -500 | 26 | 22 | 27.7 | 25.2 |
Trent McDuffie | -500 | 14 | 19 | 16.8 | 16.6 |
Sion Johnson | -300 | 33 | 28 | 23.1 | 28.0 |
Devonte Wyatt | -300 | 20 | 25 | 29.6 | 24.9 |
Nakobe Dean | -300 | 12 | 27 | 31.2 | 23.4 |
Kenyan Green | -250 | 27 | 26 | 24.8 | 25.9 |
Andre Booth | -180 | 29 | 23 | 23.8 | 25.3 |
Daxton Hill | -175 | 23 | 29 | 29.2 | 27.1 |
Desmond Cavalier | -135 | 36 | 36 | 30.2 | 34.1 |
Jahan Dotson | -135 | 28 | 31 | 31 | 30.0 |
Matt Coral | -135 | 34 | 33 | 37.1 | 34.7 |
Boye Mafe | -135 | 32 | 35 | 37.1 | 34.7 |
Logan Room | -115 | 40 | 43 | 54.2 | 45.7 |
Lewis Cine | -115 | 52 | 34 | 36.1 | 40.7 |
Arnold Ebiketie | -115 | 38 | 38 | 36.1 | 37.4 |
Christian Watson | -115 | 45 | 49 | 33.1 | 42.4 |
Kyler Gordon | -115 | 31 | 40 | 34.7 | 35.2 |
Tyler Smith | +100 | 58 | 47 | 30.3 | 45.1 |
Sam Howell | +105 | 50 | 54 | 45.8 | 49.9 |
TravisJones | +125 | 39 | 45 | 44.7 | 42.9 |
George Pickens | +120 | 57 | 46 | 38.3 | 47.1 |
Brece Room | +150 | 46 | 42 | 48.7 | 45.6 |
David Ojabo | +150 | 30 | 32 | 43.3 | 35.1 |
Skyy Moore | +150 | 42 | 48 | 51.6 | 47.2 |
Roger McCreary | +150 | 54 | 37 | 39.4 | 43.5 |
Kaiir Elam | +150 | 47 | 30 | 30.4 | 35.8 |
Bernard Raiman | +150 | 43 | 44 | 31.7 | 39.6 |
Daniel Faalele | +200 | 60 | 59 | 62.9 | 60.6 |
dock walker | +200 | 35 | 56 | 42.6 | 44.5 |
drake jackson | +250 | 61 | 63 | 52.6 | 58.9 |
Jaquan Brisker | +250 | 66 | 51 | 53.8 | 56.9 |
Jalen Pitre | +350 | 41 | 41 | 51.2 | 44.4 |
ByMarvin Leal | +350 | 62 | 55 | 49.8 | 55.6 |
Tariq wool | +350 | 75 | 67 | 56.7 | 66.2 |
Kenneth Walker | +350 | 44 | 39 | 56.8 | 46.6 |
troy andersen | +350 | 70 | 73 | 85.5 | 76.2 |
Christian Harris | +400 | 37 | 52 | 61.6 | 50.2 |
Chad Muma | +400 | 65 | 60 | 60.6 | 61.9 |
Trey McBride | +450 | 59 | 50 | 57.3 | 55.4 |
Justin Ross | +600 | 112 | 115 | 78.9 | 102.0 |
Greg Dulcich | +600 | 79 | 77 | 77.1 | 77.7 |
Perrion Winfrey | +600 | 51 | 53 | 63.1 | 55.7 |
Isaiah Spiller | +600 | 108 | 62 | 81.9 | 84.0 |
Jalen Tolbert | +600 | 83 | 80 | 77 | 80.0 |
abraham lucas | +600 | 55 | 71 | 65.7 | 63.9 |
Darian Kinnard | +600 | 107 | 66 | 60.4 | 77.8 |
carson strong | +800 | 93 | 86 | 99 | 92.7 |
The six players listed with odds of -300 or less are actually classified as good value bets to be early rounders, given the strong ratings across the board.
I know it’s not as bright as listing a few long shots here, but the data shows the value of Northern Iowa’s offensive tackle Trevor Penning (-700), Arkansas receiver Treylon Burk (-500), Washington cornerback Trent McDuffie (-500), Boston College Eagles guard Sion Johnson (-300), Georgian defensive tackle Devonte Wyatt (-300) and Georgia linebacker Nakobe Dean (-300).
We also see extended value on the Clemson cornerback Andrew Booth Jr. (-180) and Texas A&M goaltender Kenyan Green. So the numbers say to go with the chalk on these borderline first-round picks. Booth’s average rating (based on the chart above) of 25.3 is sixth best among those with first-round pick rating. Green (25.9) is seventh.
What if we wanted options with longer odds?
Florida cornerback Kaiir Elam (+150) sits at 30.4 expected draft position at Grinding the Mocks and Michigan edge rusher David Ojabo (+150) are the best more money options I see. The llama a record big board ranking of 10th overalland Ojabo the peak is 6th overall.
It’s not a market I’m chasing after darts, considering how the odds are landing.