Shapovalov vs. Huesler US Open pick and odds: Bet on the Swiss to keep him close

Denis Shapovalov’s US Open begins with a match against Marc-Andrea Huesler.

The pre-game story: 2022 has been a year to forget for Shapovalov. The US Open offers the opportunity to end it on a high note.

Check out our Shapovalov vs. Huesler US Open picks for August 30.

Preview of picks between Shapovalov and Huesler at US Open

  • Huesler +4.5 games (+100)
  • Shapovalov wins 3-1 (+290)
  • Over 3.5 sets (-152)

Shapovalov pick over Huesler at US Open

Best bet: Huesler +4.5 games (+100)

Shapovalov didn’t run over anyone, which is why it’s wise to take the matches with Huesler.

The Canadian won two matches at the Western and Southern Open, but wins were hard to come by before that. Shapovalov had lost nine of his previous 10 contests.

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He has also been mediocre on the hard court for the past two years. The 23-year-old’s 25-20 record doesn’t wow anyone.

The reason for Shapovalov’s struggles was shortcomings in the second leg. He ranks 70th with a return odds of 127.2 over the last 52 weeks, according to ATPTour.com.

Huesler, meanwhile, is having arguably the best year of his career. The Swiss tennis player is 36-21 in 2021 and recently made it to the Winston-Salem Open semi-finals. The 26-year-old picked up impressive wins over world No. 74 Mikael Ymer, No. 51 Ilya Ivashka and No. 55 Jack Draper.

Don’t expect Shapovalov to run away with many sets against Huesler.

Key stat: Huesler has won five of his last six games.

Quick Picks

Shapovalov wins 3-1 (+290): Huesler should keep every set competitive, but Shapovalov is a heavy favorite (-315) for a reason.

It’s still the No. 21-ranked player who takes on the No. 102-ranked player. The Canadian’s turbulent 2022 is well documented, but his most successful run this year came at the other Grand Slam contested on hard ground.

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Shapovalov advanced to the quarters at the Australian Open before losing to eventual winner Rafael Nadal. Two of his four tournament wins have come by a margin of 3-1 sets.

More than 3.5 series (-152): There’s a little more vig to pay for this bet but it’s worth it.

Shapovalov is favorite to win but probably won’t do it in straight sets. The 22-year-old has dropped at least one set in 13 of his last 14 matches. Assuming Huesler doesn’t win in straight sets either, this one is likely heading for at least four sets.

Quotes at 3:57 p.m. on 08/27/2022.

PS

Steven Psihogios writes about sports betting for NorthStar Bets. NorthStar Bets is owned by NordStar Capital, which also owns Torstar, Star’s parent company. Follow him on Twitter: @StevenPsihogios

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