NFL odds: the best bet? Don’t sleep on the New York Giants

By Sam Panayotovich
FOX Sports Betting Analyst

There hasn’t been a repeat champion in the NFC East since Brian Dawkins, Donovan McNabb, Terrell Owens and Andy Reid led the Philadelphia Eagles to their second consecutive divisional crown in 2004.

It’s the most upset division in American sport, and history tells us to expect the unexpected when it comes to predicting the finish.

Last year, I was very optimistic about the Dallas Cowboys win East at a bargain price (+110). This year, I’m letting the favorites through and circling a team much lower on the betting sheet.

Don’t sleep on the New York Giants.

ODDS OF WINNING THE NFC EAST ON FOX BET*

Cowboys: +120 (bet $10 to win $22 total)
Eagles: +175 (bet $10 to win $27.50 in total)
Commanders: +550 (bet $10 to win $65 total)
Giants: +800 (bet $10 to win $90 in total)

*quotes as of 07/27/2022

After six seasons of abysmal training and horrible play calls, Big Blue finally has skills on the sidelines with Brian Daboll running the show, and Mike Kafka and Wink Martindale serving as offensive and defensive coordinator, respectively.

It’s a major improvement over Joe Judge’s college clowns of the past two years and the disasters of Pat Shurmur and Ben McAdoo before that. The Giants will basically not be outdone for the first time in a long time.

Of course, the product on the field matters more, and there are plenty of opponents hovering over quarterback Daniel Jones like buzzards. But I’m optimistic that Daboll and Kafka will put Jones in positions to succeed while using the many (hopefully sound) weapons the Giants have in the closet.

I can’t wait to see Jones operate with Saquon Barkley, Kenny Golladay, Sterling Shepard and Kadarius Toney behind an offensive line that has added first-round tackles Andrew Thomas and Evan Neal in the last three drafts.

“The Giants played the ropes in Eli Manning’s later years and had one of the worst rosters in the league,” a Las Vegas bookie told FOX Sports. “But they’ve done a solid job of filling the talent gap in the division.

“And [new general manager Joe Schoen] really impressed me in the NFL Draft. Kayvon Thibodeaux and Evan Neal are impact players who will help the Giants compete in the trenches from day one. They came out of the April draft with the NFL’s most ready rusher. and offensive lineman.”

New York’s defense has taken a step back from a Top 10 unit in 2020, but it’s important to understand that both sides of the ball have been decimated by injuries. The Giants players missed a 356 games, the league record last season. Hush.

Offensively, Barkley, Golladay, Shepard and Toney all missed numerous games, and the foursome only took the field together four times. This made it harder for the offense to maintain practices, and it put extra miles on a defense that was already shorthanded.

I bet on injury regression in a good way.

It’s not impossible for New York to compete in their division, although I’d much rather make the following two bets: Giants “Over” 6.5 regular season wins (-133 at FOX Bet) and the Giants to make the playoffs (+230 at FOX Bet). New York finishing second in the division is also very attractive, at +500.

The Cowboys have lost a ton of offensive weapons and still employ Mike McCarthy. The Eagles are one of the most publicized teams in the NFL. Commanders have Carson Wentz under center. So no one in the NFC East is unbeatable by any means.

And sometimes you have to zigzag when everyone else zigzags.

CHOICE: Giants +230 on FOX Bet (bet $10 to win $30.30 in total) to make the playoffs

CHOICE: Giants -133 on FOX Bet (bet $10 to win $17.52 in total) to win Over 6.5 games

Sam Panayotovich is a sports betting analyst for FOX Sports and NESN. He previously worked for WGN Radio, NBC Sports and VSiN. He will probably choose against your favorite team. Follow him on Twitter @spshoot.

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