NFL First Running Back Drafted Odds: Bet on Kenneth Walker III, not Breece Hall

The NFL Draft is only two weeks away, and it’s time to take advantage of some futures betting!

Here’s where the market stands today for which running back will be drafted first at SI Sportsbook.

Brece Hall-300
Kenneth Walker III +220
Isaiah Spiller +700

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Brece Room, Iowa State

Breece Hall is the favorite after having a monster junior year for Iowa State. Hall rushed for 1,472 yards, averaging 5.82 yards per attempt and 20 rushing touchdowns in 2021. That followed an equally dominant second season for Hall. Hall rushed for 1,572 yards in 2020, averaging 5.62 yards per attempt, with 21 rushing touchdowns in 2020.

Hall is a 6-foot-1, 220-pound running back guy who runs hard and refuses to come down. He comes across as a true bell cow type back, touching the ball 590 times over the past two seasons – the most among college running backs. Iowa State ran its offense through Hall, and it was successful, despite a less-than-ideal run block. He’s also a good all-around playmaker, catching the ball 82 times during his college career.

The Buffalo Bills have been linked with Hall recently, and they could definitely use some backroom help, including Duke Johnson, Devin Singletary and Zach Moss.

Steven Branscombe - USA TODAY Sports

Steven Branscombe – USA TODAY Sports

Kenneth Walker III, state of michigan

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Walker finished sixth in Heisman voting – ahead of Breece Hall – finished tenth – finishing the 2021 season with 1,686 yards rushing, averaging 6.23 yards per attempt, with 18 rushing touchdowns. Walker was a revelation at Michigan State after being relatively unknown at Wake Forest during his first two college seasons. Walker led the league in broken tackles, and his average passing yard contact for RBs with 250-plus carries tied another NFL running back you may have heard of – Jonathan Taylor.

Walker’s downside is his limited use in the passing game. Walker has only caught the ball 18 times in his college career, but at 5-foot-9 and 211 pounds, with his running skills, he has the potential to fill a cowbell role with some blocking improvement passes.

Walker could be a perfect fit for the Falcons, Texans or Bills.

Isaiah Spiller, Texas A&M

Spiller has been a starting RB since his first season for the Aggies. For 2021, Spiller rushed for 1,011 yards, averaging 5.65 yards per attempt and 6 rushing touchdowns.

Spiller is a patient runner, which can sometimes work against him, but after losing 10 pounds between his sophomore and junior seasons, he’s improved his elusiveness, breaking more tackles. At 6-foot, 211 pounds, Spiller is a versatile fullback who can catch passes, log double-digit runs and protect passes. He’s rushed for over 900 yards in each of his college seasons and shows good coordination and balance.

Spiller is a running back who could provide solid ground for the position, even if he doesn’t have an overwhelming athletic trait.

Check the latest odds from SI Sportsbook

The choice: There is no value in taking Breece Hall at -300, so I take Kenneth Walker III at +220. I bet the Texans will use one of their top picks on a running back because they seem obsessed with their buildup. Walker would be a great complement to Rex Burkhead, who excels in the passing game.

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