Maple Leafs vs. Kings picks and odds: Bet on Toronto offense to get you on the right track

The Toronto Maple Leafs continue their five-game road trip with a game against the Los Angeles Kings on Saturday night.

The pre-game story: The Maple Leafs have an opportunity to get out of their funk thanks to the Kings’ failing defense, but their own ability to keep pucks out of the net is also in doubt. In a high-scoring game, Michael Bunting has a good chance of lighting the lamp.

Check out our Maple Leafs vs. Kings picks for October 29.

Odds at 5:33 p.m. on 28/10/2022.

Maple Leafs pick vs. Kings

[Best Bet] : Maple Leafs over 3.5 goals (-113)

The vibes and associated headlines surrounding the Maple Leafs right now are grim, but they find themselves in a sweet spot on Saturday.

Los Angeles has conceded 4.33 goals per game this season, the second-highest total in the NHL. That appalling number starts with the serious problems the Kings have in their crease.

Jonathan Quick and Cal Peterson have combined for an .868 save percentage this season. Toronto can expect to see Quick on Saturday and must be loving their chances against the 37-year-old, who has an .899 save percentage since 2018-19.

The Maple Leafs offense has yet to impress this season, but the team is scoring on just 6.1% of its 5-on-5 shots this year, well below the league average (8.0% ) and the mark it passed last year (8.6%).

At some point, the floodgates will open for an attack that still boasts a number of elite finishers, including the most dangerous goalscorer on the planet, Auston Matthews.

If Toronto can’t prepare against these Kings, then they will have earned the contempt that their early season mediocrity has invited.

Key stat: The Kings have allowed four or more goals in six of their nine games this season.

Quick Picks

Over 6.5 goals (-124): If we support the Maple Leafs to score four or more goals, it makes sense to accept that the game is over. Toronto has allowed three or more goals in half of its games, and that includes games against dull attacks like the Montreal Canadiens and Arizona Coyotes.

The Kings also scored at a respectable pace early on, averaging 3.44 goals per game – ninth-best total in the NHL.

Goal Bunting at any time (+255): With Anze Kopitar remaining a two-way force in his mid-30s, we’re inclined to stay away from Maple Leafs centers on goal props.

Bunting offers good value, however, given the Kings have allowed 15 left wing goals this year, more than any other team.

The 27-year-old has been buzzing lately with 12 shots in his last four games and his presence on Toronto’s first line — and his starring role as the team’s second power-play unit — gives us confidence in his chances of scoring in a game where goals shouldn’t be too hard to come by.

N / A

Nick Ashbourne writes about sports betting for NorthStar Bets. NorthStar Bets is owned by NordStar Capital, which also owns Torstar, Star’s parent company. Follow him on Twitter: @NickAshbourne

Disclaimer This content has been produced in partnership and therefore may not meet the standards of impartial or independent journalism.