Joe Musgrove wrestles with his division rival

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I pride myself on being as transparent as possible. My MLB record from last season and this season is listed in my bio. Over the year, I recorded 190 wins and 137 losses for a gain of +33.9 units. Without further ado, let’s dive into my favorite Sunday play.

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Joe Musgrove (Padres) on 2.5 earned runs (+105)

Line available on DraftKings Sportsbook at time of publication.

Joe Musgrove was one of the best pitchers in baseball before the All-Star break. He had early consideration for NL CY Young as he had an ERA of less than 3.00 each month from April to June. Fast forward to today. Musgrove had a 4.24 ERA in August and allowed the Arizona Diamondbacks 4 runs in his first start in September.

It doesn’t get any less difficult today as Musgrove and the Padres welcome the best team in the majors, the Los Angeles Dodgers. The Dodgers smash the right-handed throw. In the past month, they have achieved the second highest rate and have a top 5 base percentage. Many Dodgers hitters have good spreads against Musgrove. Freddie Freeman is a career 6 for 18 against him with 1 home run and 3 RBIs. Justin Turner will be looking to stay hot as he hits .370 in September. In his career against Musgrove, he is 5 for 12 with 2 homers.

Musgrove has struggled against elite competition this season. The Philadelphia Phillies, New York Mets and Dodgers all recorded at least 3 points against Musgrove. He’s crossed that line in 6 of his last 10 starts and I expect him to struggle early today.

Be sure to check out our Predictions Los Angeles Dodgers vs San Diego Padres

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