How to bet on the American battle between Paul and Korda (August 31)

The first round of the US Open was already dramatic, as Taylor Fritz and Stefanos Tsitsipas were ousted by the qualifiers.

Now we turn our attention to round two, including these two picks below that I have my eyes on.

Note: Match times are subject to change. Read here for tips on watching US Open matches.

Andy Murray (-550) vs. Emilio Nava (+400)

12 p.m. ET

Andy Murray is certainly not the Murray of old. Between injuries and age, the Briton hasn’t been as successful – especially on the hard courts – this season.

He’s picked up his game a bit over the past two weeks. Murray had his most impressive match in quite some time against Cam Norrie in Cincinnati, and he beat 24th seed Francisco Cerundolo in straight sets in his opening round match at Queens.

Murray broke Cerundolo’s serve seven times and won 75% of his second-serve return points (30 of 40).

The biggest stat I watch in Murray’s games, though, is his time on the court. He played 2:43 against Cerundolo, which is quite manageable in terms of turnover for a player of Murray’s age and status.

I also like to wipe out young, inexperienced players who are picking up massive wins.

Emilio Nava is a 20-year-old qualifier who ranks over 200th in the world. He just beat John Millman in five sets to claim his first-ever ATP Tour victory, and now he has to face a 15-year-old player like him on the biggest tennis court, Arthur Ashe Stadium.

While Nava was a junior Grand Slam singles and doubles finalist at the US Open in 2019 and 2018, respectively, it’s a whole different ball game, which makes nervousness a factor for the Los Angeles native. .

While the first set could be tight as Murray feels an opponent he knows little about, I don’t expect him to drop a set against a player with such limited experience as Nava even at the end of the game. his career.

Take: Andy Murray will win 3-0 (+120 via FanDuel) | Play up to +110

Sebastian Korda (-125) vs. Tommy Paul (-105)

2:15 p.m. ET

American tennis is booming, and what better event to prove that times have changed than the US Open.

Sebastian Korda and Tommy Paul both faced surprisingly tough tests in their first-round clashes, but that doesn’t take away from their overall successes this season.

While Korda struggled with shin splints and foot issues over the summer that eventually forced him out of Wimbledon, the 22-year-old American is 22-16 on the season and had victories over Frances Tiafoe and Karen Khachanov in the North American hard-court swing.

Korda also beat Carlos Alcaraz in Monte Carlo earlier this year, dominated Cam Norrie at the Australian Open and took Rafael Nadal in three sets at Indian Wells.

The ability is clearly there for Korda – it’s just a matter of consistency.

Then there is Paul, who is having the best season of his professional tennis career. In addition to his knockout rounds at Wimbledon, he also beat Alcaraz in Montreal.

Now Korda is rightfully favored in this matchup due to his past results against Paul – he beat his fellow American three times in 2021. But if we take a closer look at those results, two of the three matches have gone the distance, both exceeding their totals in 250 events.

Although Paul has struggled in the past with Korda’s serve and net game, his skills have developed over the past year. While his athleticism and sheer tennis abilities are evident to anyone who watches him play, he has become more aggressive and tactical with his groundstrokes.

Paul and Korda too, unsurprisingly, both have Ratings in the top 25 on hard.

I’m concerned about Korda’s lack of experience at the US Open – he’s only made three main draw matches with just one win – but it’s such an even game across the board that I expect until that is decided in a fifth set.

One last point: although this is a major event — everyone is motivated and wants to go further — Paul was adamant recently in interviews on how he wants to stay one step ahead of young Americans.

Out of pride, “we want to stay ahead of them in the standings, we don’t want to fall behind,” says Paul. “I can speak for the whole group when I say the young guys who are doing really well pushed us a ton.”

So in a battle with everything at stake on the stand, I expect this game to topple that high number of 39.5. Don’t play higher than that, though.

If you’re taking risks, playing Paul – who should probably win against Korda – isn’t the worst option.

Take: Over 39.5 (-105 via DraftKings)