How to bet on Friday’s ATP Newport match (July 15)

Kubler vs. Duckworth Odds

Kubler Odds -210
Duckworth odds +175
More less 23.5
Time | How to watch 1:30 p.m. ET | string tennis
Odds via FanDuel. For tips on watching tennis matches, click here.

With an odd tournament schedule at the Hall of Fame Open in Newport, Rhode Island, Friday’s quarterfinal will only see a pair of matches. Americans Maxime Cressy and John Isner booked their semi-final tickets on Thursday.

Let’s dive into one of the two remaining quarters to be played in New England!

Duckworth having an average grass season

After a difficult start to the season, the eldest of the two Australians finally managed to win a match at the ATP Tour level. The thing is, he beat two Challenger-caliber players to make it in Liam Broady and Quentin Halys.

Although Duckworth is enjoying faster courts and has a decent game, a couple of Challenger wins and a pair of straight-set wins this week doesn’t exactly indicate he’s about to find solid form.

With a hold and break percentage of around 100% (pretty average number) and an Elo rating of around 1,570, Duckworth doesn’t stand out statistically either.

To face his compatriot in Kubler is a big step forward in the quality of the competition. It will be interesting to see how he handles the occasion.

Kubler in dominant form

Former top junior Kubler has been on a hot streak since May 10.

Now 24-4 in his last 28 games on all surfaces and at all levels, Kubler is also 8-1 on slick, fast grass courts. With his serve playing and gaining power from faster courts, his athletic ability and return of serve helped him gain an edge on service-oriented grass courts.

The 29-year-old has improved his ace rate, first-serve points won, second-serve points won, hold percentage and box break percentage in 2022. In doing so, his catch metric and break is over 110% – a big lead over Duckworth despite tougher competition to date.

I don’t think opposing Kubler in this position is a wise choice. He has the ability required on the return of the pressure on Duckworth, finds himself in almost unstoppable form and has really found a rhythm on serve.

Value and choice of Kubler vs. Duckworth bets

It’s hard to justify betting against Kubler here.

Not only is his form scorching, but without a top-tier opponent on the other side of the net, making three games isn’t that much of a concern for me.

With his serve played so well and being the most athletic and capable returner in this all-Australian game, I’m going to back the favourite.

Choose: Kubler -2.5 (-122)

How would you rate this article?