How to bet on each team in the division

Now that the NBA and NHL playoffs are over, we can start focusing on the next NFL season. We’ve already previewed the futures market for the Coach of the Year award, and now we’ll take a look at NFC East win totals.

The Dallas Cowboys are the +115 favorites to win the NFC East for the second straight season, so it’s no surprise they have the highest win total in the division. The Philadelphia Eagles, who have +190 to win the NFC East, have the second-highest win total.

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NFC East Win Totals

Provided by BetMGM

NFC East Team More Below
New York Giants 7.5 / +130 7.5 / -160
Washington Commanders 8.5 / +140 8.5 / -165
Philadelphia Eagles 9.5 / -110 9.5 / -110
Dallas Cowboys 10.5 / +105 10.5 / -125

When projecting win totals, the two most important things to consider are the strength of a team’s schedule and any noticeable changes to their roster. So, we’ll begin our analysis by assessing each team’s upcoming schedule, while also addressing any key personnel changes during the offseason.

This season, the NFC East’s intra-conference opponents will be drawn from the NFC North, while their inter-conference opponents will be teams from the AFC South. Game 17 will feature teams from AFC North.

While there is no easy game in the NFL, teams in the NFC East will benefit from facing the Houston Texans and Jacksonville Jaguars in the AFC South. No other league division had two teams that won fewer games than the Jaguars (3-14) and Texans (4-13) last season. As a result, it’s no surprise that Action Network predictive analyst Sean Koerner ranks the Giants, Eagles and Commanders with the three softest schedules in the league.

New York Giants wins under 7.5

The Giants finished last in the NFC East at 4-13 (0.235 winning percentage). According to TeamRankings.com, New York ranked 20th in schedule after Week 18. So even with a schedule ranked in the bottom half of the league, the Giants only managed to win four games.

Part of the Giants’ struggles are due to injuries, with starting quarterback Daniel Jones missing the final six games of the regular season. New York went 0-6 in that span, but 4-11 in games Jones started. Three of the six season-ending losses were to the Dolphins, Bears and Commanders. Although the Giants could have fared better had Jones been available for those games, I think the best-case scenario was to go 2-1 against those opponents.

I took a look at the Giants’ upcoming schedule, and I think their cap is seven wins. Since Jones took over as the starting quarterback in 2019, New York hasn’t won more than six games.

Mini camp by Daniel Jones.
Daniel Jones at the Giants’ mandatory minicamp.
Getty Images

What’s important to note here is that teams in the division, like the Eagles and Commanders, have improved dramatically in the offseason. The Cowboys are still the Cowboys and deserve respect as division champions.

So even with a relatively more manageable schedule that includes the Texans and Jaguars, the Giants will continue to face a tough challenge within their division. The new coaching staff is a big improvement, but not enough to get the G-Men to .500 in 2022.

Washington Commanders Over 8.5 wins

The Commanders showed a lot of courage in 2021 after losing starting quarterback Ryan Fitzpatrick in Week 1 to a hip injury. Washington still managed to win seven games behind backup quarterback Taylor Heinicke. During the offseason, Commanders improved the position by landing Carson Wentz via trade with the Indianapolis Colts.

Wentz became persona non grata in Indianapolis after the Colts’ Week 18 no-show work against a three-win Jaguars team with a playoff berth on the line. However, looking at his overall stats, one could argue that he still recorded decent numbers.

Commanders Carson Wentz.
Carson Wentz at the Commanders Mandatory Minicamp.
Getty Images

Wentz finished the season with 27 touchdowns and seven interceptions while throwing for 3,563 yards. I know he’s been a bit turnover prone with fumbles, but we’re talking about a player who threw for 33 touchdowns and seven interceptions in his sophomore year before missing the rest of the season due of a knee injury.

There’s no doubt Wentz is a lightning rod, but he’s still a capable quarterback. Isn’t he worth at least two more wins on a Commanders team that also lost its best passing thrower to Chase Young to an ACL injury in Week 10?

I think some are underestimating the COs chances of competing in 2022. I like Wentz’s move and even added future Coach of the Year Ron Rivera to my portfolio. I will try with Washington to top their win total at the price plus +140.


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Philadelphia Eagles wins under 9.5

Last season, the Eagles were a favorite team for NFL analytic geeks because of their ability to win on third down. According to TeamRankings, Philadelphia was tied for third with 5.9 conversions per game. It’s a big reason the Eagles managed to win nine games and clinch a playoff berth.

This year, the Eagles are much better now that quarterback Jalen Hurts has a full season under his belt. If Hurts can continue to evolve as a passer on the field, he could start drawing comparisons to Bills star quarterback Josh Allen, another strong, dual-threat young quarterback.

Jalen hurts OTAs.
Jalen Hurts throws a pass to the Eagles OTA.
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However, picking up double-digit wins in the National Football League is no small feat, especially in a division where Hurts could be the third-best quarterback behind Dak Prescott and Carson Wentz.

And with a standard juice of -110 either way, bettors might be a bit ambivalent about that payout total.

I think a lot has to break for the Eagles to get ten wins, even after all their offseason additions like receiver AJ Brown. As a result, I would be looking to play under when it comes to Philadelphia’s win total.

Dallas Cowboys under-10.5 wins

No team knows the importance of a starting quarterback better than the Dallas Cowboys. With a healthy Dak Prescott under center, Dallas finished the year at 12-5, resulting in six more wins than the previous season.

Dallas has won 12 while playing the third-toughest regular season schedule, according to TeamRankings. However, six of his 12 wins have come against divisional foes.

Dak Prescott Cowboys.
Dak Prescott throws a pass in the NFL playoffs.
Getty Images

There has been some concern over the Cowboys’ setback following the trade of Amari Cooper to the Cleveland Browns. And while some Cowboys fans might wonder if Cooper has reached his full potential with the team yet, his departure will always be a void they will have to overcome.

With the other NFC East teams all improving, I don’t anticipate the Cowboys going undefeated in the division for a second straight year.

That win total is exactly where it should be at 10.5 games, so it’s either the under or the pass for this bettor.