After going unclaimed for several days in a row, the $1 Super High 5 at Churchill Falls heads into Sunday with a carryover of $12,545 up for grabs.
As usual, the bet is available to play in the last race of the day. That would be Race 10, a special seven-stadia first weight with an overflow field of 16 entries, four of which are also eligible. Suffice to say that it is a difficult race to analyze.
#4 Bourbon Heist (3-1) is the morning line favorite after finishing second in a six-stage fast special debut weight on May 7 at Churchill Downs, earning a career-best 100 Brisnet speed rating. Stretching over seven furlongs shouldn’t be a problem since Bourbon Heist has placed over this distance several times, but can we trust him to fight for victory in the short term? With six second-place finishes in nine starts, Bourbon Heist tends to settle for second place most often.
#12 Elite Power (7-2), who finished a neck behind Bourbon Heist in the third set of the opening round on May 7, is another logical contender. But Curlin’s four-year-old son weighs 124 pounds, and his two previous efforts weren’t particularly noteworthy. A fast pace helped their chances on May 7, and it’s unclear if Elite Power will receive the same favorable setup on Sunday.
Perhaps we should focus our attention on the beginners trained by Brad Cox #6 Grand Aspen (8-1) and #9 Concerted (4-1). Cox has been on fire with rookie runners this year, going 14-for-36 (39%), and he’s actually visited the winner’s circle with six of his last nine first-time starters.
Concerted is the shortest prize on the morning line after throwing several balling practice sessions at Keeneland, and Godolphin’s homebred brings a classy pedigree to the table – the Shared half-brother Sense is a two-time winner . But Grand Aspen has also trained well and will be ridden by jockey Florent Geroux, a 26% winner teaming up with Cox for the past two months.
Let’s put Grand Aspen and Concerted at the top of our Super High 5 tickets while highlighting Bourbon Heist and Elite Power below.
- $1 Super High 5: 6.9 w/4,6,9,12 w/4,6,9,12 w/4,6,9,12 w/1,3,5,8,11 ($60)
- $1 Super High 5: 6.9 with 4,6,9,12 with 4,6,9,12 with 1,3,5,8,11 with 4,6,9,12 ($60)