Churchill Downs: How to Bet the Mandatory Rollover of $6,043 Pick 6

The Sunday menu at Churchill Falls offers two enticing rollovers: an $18,236 prize pool in the $1 Super High 5 and a $6,043 jackpot in the 20-cent “Derby City 6” Pick 6.

Derby City 6 is scheduled for a mandatory payment, so that’s where we’ll be focusing our attention, assembling a ticket for just under $65.

Here’s a race-by-race look at the streak, which kicks off at 2:13 p.m. ET:

Race 4: Indemnity (5 1/2 furlongs)

Although registrations indicate that this race will be run on grass, the Churchill Downs grass course is on a temporary hiatus, meaning this race is being moved to the main track.

The surface switch is bound to help #9 Little Mombo (4-1), who erased a first special weight at this track and distance last month by seven lengths. A repeat of his flashy 91 Brisnet speed rating would make Little Mombo great, though. #15 Modified Shot (2-1) – victorious in her last two starts at the main Churchill Downs track – cannot be dismissed if she drops out of the equally eligible list.

We will also use #5 Downtown Abby (5-1), beaten just a neck while third at this track and level in class last month.

Race 5: $80,000 optional claim (1 1/16 mile)

#3 The Rose Marie (9-5) has had blowout wins in three of his last four starts while running a mile or more on clay, and his only failure came finishing fifth behind eventual freshman winner Pauline’s Pearl in the Houston Ladies Classic (G3). The Mary Rose has excellent tactical speed and brings strong Brisnet speed ratings to the table, making the five-year-old mare a logical single.

Race 6: Maiden Special Weight (six furlongs)

#3 Seal Beach (7-2) butted heads with tough rivals as a juvenile last year, including future stakes winners Epicenter, Rattle N Roll and Dash Attack. He put up a respectable work tab in preparation for his sophomore debut and could catch an easier field this time around, although the second starter #4 Sea Force (5-1), the regular #6 Plausible Denile (3-1), and the unpublished #7 Spot (6-1) are also worth including.

Race 7: $62,500 optional protest allowance (six furlongs)

#6 Bagboss (3-1), a gate-to-wire allowance winner at this track and distance last month, is a logical choice to claim top honors under hot jockey Tyler Gaffalione. But #10 Much better (9-2) nearly wired an optional six-yard allocation seeker at Oaklawn Park last time out, finishing second by 1 1/4 lengths to multiple-stakes winner Greeley and Ben after setting a quick pace. We will use these two plus the consistent Escape Route #1 (7-2), second at that class tier in a seven furlong sprint at Keeneland earlier this spring.

Race 8: Matt Winn S. (G3, 1 1/16 miles)

Arkansas Derby winner (G1) #6 Cyberknife (8-5) drops in class and distance after finishing 18th in the Kentucky Derby (G1). It will be hard to deny it in the short term, even if the winner of Breeders’ Futurity (G1) #7 Rattle N Roll (3-1) – compromised by modest pace and a speed-promoting track during second place in a Churchill allowance last month – is an intriguing alternative. The gate-to-wire winner of this round, #4 Howl Time (2-1), also cannot be ruled out; it’s 3 for 4 at Churchill Downs.

Race 9: $80,000 optional claim (one mile)

The final is another turf race moving to dirt. The only participant of the main track #15 Best Actor (2-1) looks like a perfect fit for high percentage coach Brad Cox; Flatter’s son pulled off a first 1 1/16 mile special weight at Churchill last month with a promising speed rating of 90 Brisnet. Oaklawn S. third place #13 Happy Boy Rocket (8-1) is another to include, with Kitten’s Joy S. (G3) runner-up #3 Royal Spirit (5-2), who has the breeding to handle the dirt.

  • Pick 6 to 20 cents: 5,9,15 with 3 with 3,4,6,7 with 1,6,10 with 4,6,7 with 3,13,15 ($64.80)

Good luck!