Broncos vs. Seahawks Week 1 picks and odds: Bet on Wilson to burn down Seattle

The Denver Broncos and Seattle Seahawks close out Week 1 on Monday Night Football.

The pre-game story: Russell Wilson will make his prime-time debut in Denver. The match also marks his first appearance against his former team, Seattle.

Check out our Broncos vs Seahawks Week 1 selections for September 12.

Quotes at 11:41 a.m. on 09/11/2022.

Broncos Week 1 pick vs. Seahawks

Best bet: Broncos -6.5 (-115)

The the public strongly supports the Broncos and it’s hard to find an argument against taking Denver while laying down less than a touchdown.

Bettors should expect a motivated Wilson upon his return to Lumen Field. The quarterback hasn’t left head coach Pete Carroll and the rest of the organization the greatest of terms. It’s well known that Carroll dragged his feet when it came to deploying a passing-focused offense, which contributed to friction between the QB and the franchise.

The problem now for the Seahawks, however, is that they’ll likely find themselves playing from behind as underdogs. Comebacks were commonplace with Wilson under center. His 24 fourth-quarter comebacks are tied for fifth among active quarterbacks, but it will be a little tougher with Geno Smith in the pocket.

Smith’s 13-21 record and touchdown-to-interception ratio (34:37) illustrate his below-average ability. The loss of key players like Bobby Wagner, DJ Reed and Duane Brown this offseason will no doubt also negatively impact both sides of the ball.

It may be tough, but Denver is the team to bet on in this contest.

Key stat: Smith has started just five games since 2015, holding a 2-3 record in those contests.

Quick Picks

Seahawks within 18.5 points (-120): This bet is another way to soften Seattle’s anemic offense. The Seahawks erased that number in just two of four games Smith appeared in last year.

Also, rookie running back Kenneth Walker has a hernia and hasn’t practiced all week. He will likely have to wait at least another week to make his NFL debut. Denver’s defense allowed just 18.9 points per game last year, which ranked second in the league.

Less than 44 points (-109): The least of that number has come in Smith’s five starts since 2015. Simply put, he won’t lead his team to a shootout victory.

While Wilson and the Broncos should have no trouble racking up points, it will be difficult to get above that number if most of the offense is coming from one side.

PS

Steven Psihogios writes about sports betting for NorthStar Bets. NorthStar Bets is owned by NordStar Capital, which also owns Torstar, Star’s parent company. Follow him on Twitter: @StevenPsihogios

Disclaimer This content has been produced in partnership and therefore may not meet the standards of impartial or independent journalism.