Blue Jays vs Twins prop picks Aug. 6: Bet on Guerrero to stay warm

After an overtime loss on Friday, the Toronto Blue Jays are back against the Minnesota Twins tonight.

The pre-game story: Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is looking to continue his torrid run, Byron Buxton has a strong scoring opportunity, and Dylan Bundy and Jose Miranda are part of a plus-money bet.

Here are our Blue Jays vs. Twins prop picks for August 6.

Overview of Blue Jays vs. Twins prop choices

  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr. on 1.5 total goals (-112)
  • Byron Buxton on 0.5 points scored (+100)
  • Dylan Bundy over 3.5 strikeouts and Jose Miranda over 0.5 hits (+128)

Choice of Blue Jays vs. Twins props

Best bet: Guerrero on 1.5 goals in total (-112)

At the risk of sounding repetitive, we’re back to Vladimir Guerrero Jr. as our best bet tonight. After all, if it ain’t broke, don’t fix it.

Guerrero has crossed that line in 11 of his last 15 games and reduced .441/.500/.729 in that span with eight doubles and three home runs, including this two-point shot last night:

Moving up to second place has done wonders for the 23-year-old.

Guerrero’s BA is more than 90 points better when hitting second (.363) than third (.272), and he’s racked up extra hits in 13.75% of beats since adjusting. alignment.

Toronto’s first baseman hasn’t had much success against Minnesota’s Dylan Bundy, with just two hits in 14 at bats. That said, Guerrero has only struck once against the Twins starter and holds a 21.4% smell rate against Bundy, well below his 32.4% average.

Vladdy puts the ball in play against Bundy, and with the way he’s swinging it around right now, we’re confident he’ll be able to rack up goals against the struggling right-hander.

Key stat: Guerrero has averaged 3.00 total goals per game over the past two weeks (second in MLB).

Read more: Blue Jays vs Twins picks and odds

Quick Picks

Buxton on 0.5 runs (+100): Buxton has had a bit of a cold streak but still cashed in on that prop in three of his last five games, scoring five points overall in that span. He leads the Twins with 57 points scored this year in just 80 games played and should have a favorable game to get on base tonight.

Buxton’s biggest weakness is his 30.1K% (lower 7% of MLB). Toronto starter Mitch White isn’t known for racking up punches, as evidenced by his sub-7.6K/9 score.

Read more: Odds of winning the World Series

Bundy on 3.5 K and Miranda on 0.5 hit (+128): We’re going to take two nice juice lines and combine them for a nice little extra cash game.

Bundy faces an extremely modest 3.5 (-175) strikeout line, something he’s done in three of his last five starts. The Minnesota right-hander also holds 30.7K% against Toronto’s current roster, with 43 strikeouts in 140 plate appearances.

Miranda recorded a hit in nine of 12 games and is coming off a stellar July (.353/.405/.603 slash line in 20 games).

Quotes at 10:55 a.m. on 08/06/2022.


Avery Perri writes about sports betting for NorthStar Bets. NorthStar Bets is owned by NordStar Capital, which also owns Torstar, Star’s parent company. Follow him on Twitter: @AveryPerri

Disclaimer This content has been produced in partnership and therefore may not meet the standards of unbiased or independent journalism.