Blue Jays vs. Mariners pick and odds: Bet on Toronto to keep sliding

The Toronto Blue Jays have lost eight of their last nine games and need a win in Seattle to start the day on a positive note.

The pre-game story: With Kevin Gausman unable to start, the Blue Jays will rely on their bullpen to get them through this game. Seattle counters with right-hander Logan Gilbert in a game where they could tie Toronto in the standings.

Here are our Blue Jays vs Mariners picks for July 10.

Overview of Blue Jays picks vs. Mariners

  • Sailors Moneyline (-121)
  • Sailors on 3.5 runs (-129)
  • Mariners lead after three innings (+143)

Blue Jays pick vs. Mariners

Best bet: Sailors Moneyline (-121)

The Blue Jays are in a horrible downward spiral right now, and there’s no reason to believe it will end on Sunday.

With Gausman’s ankle injury forcing Toronto to rely on their relievers, the club will be at a serious throwing disadvantage against Gilbert and the Mariners. The 25-year-old right-hander is averaging 95.9 mph on his fastball, boasts a 2.61 ERA and has yet to give his team less than five innings in a start this season.

It’s not easy for a squad that has been one of the least explosive in the league over the past seven days:

AVERAGE MLB Standings OBP MLB Standings SLG MLB Standings CMR+ MLB Standings
.248 15th .293 20th .346 20th 78 21st

The Blue Jays have the talent to break their slump at any time, but faced with such a difficult starter in MLB’s Least Friendly Park is not a likely time for that to happen.

Meanwhile, Seattle is on a winning streak and will face a group of Blue Jays relievers that have been among the worst at the majors and have adapted well to T-Mobile Park’s offensive smothering methods. The Mariners wRC+ at home (110) ranks 11th in the majors.

Earlier in the season, the idea of ​​Seattle playing favorites against Toronto would have seemed absurd, but there’s only one game between the two in the standings. We’re happy to bring the Mariners home when they have a pitching lag on their side.

Read more: Sunday Night Baseball Pick

Key stat: The Mariners are 12-5 when Gilbert is on the mound.

Read more: Blue Jays vs Mariners Prop Picks

Quick Picks

Mariner on 3.5 runs (-129): Seattle’s roster has been solid lately with 33 points scored in seven straight wins. Dealing with a team that empties its bullpen can be tough, but the Blue Jays’ relief unit ranks 26th in fWAR majors with an unimpressive 4.30 ERA. Four points aren’t a big ask from a team on a roll against mediocre competition.

Read more: AL MVP Odds

Mariners lead after three innings (+143): Seattle isn’t just in a good position to score points on Sunday, they can count on some solid early shots as well. Gilbert allowed his opponents to hit just .204/.261/.282 the first time in order, resulting in an ERA of .93. We’ll back those numbers against the Blue Jays’ early-game mystery box any day of the week.

Quotes as of 10:59 a.m. ET on 7/10/22.

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Nick Ashbourne writes about sports betting for NorthStar Bets. NorthStar Bets is owned by NordStar Capital, which also owns Torstar, Star’s parent company. Follow him on Twitter: @NickAshbourne

Disclaimer This content has been produced in partnership and therefore may not meet the standards of impartial or independent journalism.