Bet with your head, not your heart

Saint Peter’s is the definition of a Cinderella team, and they end up as the 15 seed paired with the three Purdue seeds in the Sweet Sixteen. The small school from Jersey City, New Jersey will have an uphill task ahead of them to maintain their miraculous run to the Elite Eight.

Sweet Sixteen: Purdue vs. Saint Peter’s

How to watch

Game time: 7:09 p.m. EST

TV: SCS

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Purdue’s Trevion Williams shoots against Texas.
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Purdue (-12.5) on Saint-Pierre

You’re welcome, Jersey City. The kiss of death will not come from me. Everyone outside of Indiana wants the Peacocks’ inspiring run to continue, but it’s nearly impossible to make a case for how it will perform against the nation’s second offense.

Purdue’s Jaden Ivey is the nation’s most talented guard, a near-certainty of being a top-five pick in the 2022 NBA Draft. Purdue’s offense, which averages 80 points per game (Saint Peter’s a reached that mark in regulation time against a Division I team this season), ranks sixth in the nation in shooting on goal (49.2%) and fourth in 3-point shooting (38.8%)).

If the shots don’t fall, the Boilermakers’ top rebounders — led by 7-foot-4 Zach Edey and 6-10 Trevion Williams — will give them a second chance. Purdue, which is tied for 12th in the nation in free throw attempts, will find easy points against an aggressive defense that commits more often than 347 other teams. The Boilermakers did it by getting 46 attempts from the line against an even more skilled Texas defense than the Peacocks.

It’s not fun to make that choice, so I understand if you have to pass. But it’s also the rare game in which you can’t be too upset if you lose.