Bet Cole Anthony and Ja Morant Saturday (October 22)

Welcome to the first weekend of the Association! With a strong start to the season so far, there are three accessories that stand out tonight among the rest. They all happen to be under props on various stats for playmakers!

We will use the Action Labs Player Prop Tool to compare our NBA projections to the props displayed on a variety of sportsbooks. Below I’ve outlined three bets on the props I play, the case for each bet, and the best books for finding odds on these player props.

NBA Players’ Accessories and Picks

Cole Anthony, under 1.5 steals and blocks (+110)

Magic versus. Celtics Celtics -8.5
Time | TV 7 p.m. ET | NBA League Pass
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After back-to-back road losses, the Orlando Magic have their home opener tonight against the Boston Celtics. Brutal opener home game as Celtics go 2-0 after wins over Philadelphia 76ers and Miami Heat. Magic has an undertone total of 104.25 points tonight.

Anthony Cole was out the first game due to illness, but played last night and had an outstanding game! Anthony finished with a very impressive 25 points on 8 for 12 from the field and 4 for 5 from behind the arc. This bet prop targets his steals and blocks, where Anthony finished with one each.

With starting point guard Jalen Sugg Suffering from a sprained ankle last night, Anthony will likely move into the starting lineup tonight. Regardless of this potential change, our model has predicted Anthony for just 0.7 interceptions and blocks tonight. He’s averaged exactly 1.0 steals and blocks over the past two seasons.

Last season, the Celtics ranked in the middle of the pack in turnovers and steals allowed. In four career games against the Celtics, Anthony has had just one steal and no blocks. He may get more minutes if Suggs is ruled out, but that’s our model’s best line tonight. Take the Anthony under with juice attched.

Caleb Martin, less than 3.5 assists (-175)

Heat versus. raptors Heat -2.5
Time | TV 8 p.m. ET | NBA League Pass
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Another one Eastern Conference clash presents our second accessory with Miami Heat guard Caleb Martin. The Heat host the Toronto Raptors in what should be the slate’s lowest-scoring game at 215 points. After losing back-to-back home games to start the season, the Heat will be hoping third time around will be a charm.

This game will likely be a slow-paced slugfest. Both teams made Pace’s bottom five last season and they still tend to follow this season. The Raptors also ranked in the top 10 in defensive ratings at 109.9 last season as they continue to be one of the best defensive teams in the league.

It’s been a slow start to the season not only for the Heat, but also for Martin. In two games, Martin is averaging 5.5 points, 5.5 rebounds and 1.5 assists per game while playing 29 minutes. He’ll likely play a career-high in minutes this season, but that 3.5 assist prop line tonight seems too high.

Martin is also only averaging three potential assists per game over two games, so even if all of his teammates’ shots were made, it would still be under that assist line. Throughout his career, Martin has averaged barely one assist per game. It’s hard to expect Martin to pull through with a 12.3% utilization rate.

Ja Morant, less than 2.5 3 points made (-130)

Mavericks versus. Grizzlies Mavericks -5.5
Time | TV 8:30 p.m. ET | NBA Television
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What a start to the season for the Memphis Grizzlies and Ja Morant. They are 2-0 with Morant leading the league with 41.5 points per game. Without Jaren Jackson Jr.. and Dillon Brooks, Morant is the main attraction. In two games, he has a ridiculous 40.4% usage rate which is also top of the league.

Despite making four 3-pointers per game so far, our model only has Morant for 1.6 tonight in a tough road game against the Dallas Mavericks. Last season, the Mavericks led the league in allowing 10.9 3-pointers per game. In their only game this season, they allowed just eight suns.

So far, these perimeter fire numbers are very unusual. Morant hit a career-high 34.4 percent since downtown last season, making 1.5 per game. In two games against the Mavericks last season, Morant made just 0.5 3-pointers per game while shooting a disastrous 14.3 percent from behind the arc.

Morant and the Grizzlies’ hot start could come to an abrupt end as they are 5.5-point underdogs on the road in Dallas tonight. Even though Brooks is out again and Morant has a heavy workload, I’ll take the historical stats on a recent terrific shooting streak. Get all those props under the point guard tonight.

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