Best NFL Futures To Bet Before Week 1 (2022)

The 2022 NFL season is just around the corner, so it’s time to start some last-minute futures betting! When betting on futures, price is important. If you have multiple sports betting accounts, make sure you buy odds.

Many websites, including Betting Pros, have odds screens that will do the work for you and ensure you are betting at the best price available. I wrote about what odds buying is and why it matters in this article, so refer back to that if you have any questions.

(Odds are courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)

Check out our guide to NFL futures betting >>

Philadelphia Eagles win the NFC East (+150)

Fly, Eagles, Fly! I don’t remember being any higher on a team early in the season than this year’s Eagles. I’ve loaded them with futures since April, including 8.5+ wins (-115), to win the division (+165), to win the NFC (+1400) and to win the Super Bowl (+3300) . Most of those numbers are long gone, but a bet on the Eagles to win the East still hangs in the balance.

Philadelphia’s roster has returned to the form that won them a Super Bowl in 2018. Howie Roseman has done an incredible job of retooling his team. The defensive line looks set to become elite again as the Eagles recover Brandon Graham from injury and add a grizzly in the middle of Jordan Davis. It’s a unit with good footballers like Fletcher Cox, Graham, Javon Hargrave, Hasson Reddick and Josh Sweat, but also great depth with Derrick Barnett and Milton Williams. The secondary has recently held off the Eagles defense but now looks like one of the best groups in the league. Two good corners to Darius Slay and James Bradbury, backed up by a solid safety unit who just added CJ Gardner Johnson for a few draft picks late in the round. Add a solid linebacking unit that added NFL Draft Nakobe Dean, and you have one of the best defenses in the league.

On the attack side, the Eagles have always dominated the trenches and plan to start again with one of the best offensive lines in the league. PFF projects them to be the best in the NFL. Philadelphia’s draft day for AJ Brown also solidified one of the best point guard groups in the league. Former Heisman winner DeVonta Smith enters year two with high expectations. Dallas Goedert has become one of the best and most underrated tight ends in the NFL, and they have a trio of running backs.

The weight of Philadelphia’s season rests on one man’s shoulders, Jalen Hurts. He is the X factor of this team and can take this team from playoff margin to Super Bowl contender. A bet on the Eagles is a bet on Hurts, and I’m totally willing to bet on him.

There’s no questioning Hurts’ quality on the court, and he’ll be an incredible threat behind the Eagles offensive line. Doubt is in the air. Last season, Hurts ranked 15th in PFF passing rating, 14th in yards per attempt and 24th in passer rating. With this list, I think it’s going to be pretty good.

And what I love about Jalen Hurts is that he never stopped improving. We always talk about development and expect players to improve in a linear fashion as we see their Madden ratings go up a few points every year, but that’s not the case for 95% of football players. It has been for Hurts, however. Since his 2016 season at Alabama, Hurts has improved his PFF rating, yards per attempt and passer rating every season. It’s absurd to look at his stats year over year and see how steadily Hurts has grown.

With an elite group of playmakers, a dominating offensive line and excellent defense to back it up, the Eagles don’t need Hurts to be this good. His division consists of Carson Wentz, Daniel Jones and a Cowboys team led by a below average coach who lost Amari Cooper and Tyron Smith. They are due for a major defensive regression and seem determined to ride Ezekiel Elliott to win this year.

The Eagles have one of the best rosters in the league, a capable quarterback with upside, a weak division and one of the easiest schedules in the league. They should be favored to win this split, and I think they do it easily.

The Kansas City Chiefs will be the most scoring team (+1000)

Patrick Mahomes is the starting quarterback for the Chiefs, so you should make that bet. It sounds good ?

OK, so the Chiefs are listed with the third-highest odds for being the NFL’s top-performing team behind the Bills and Buccaneers. I think they are a bit undervalued in this market. Yes, they lost Tyreek Hill, and Travis Kelce may be getting old, but it’s still Andy Reid and Mahomes we’re talking about here. With this pair, the Chiefs finished first, second, sixth and fourth in scoring. They’re the only team that’s had such a consistent elite offense.

2022 will have to be different for Kansas City. They lost one of the league’s most unique players to Tyreek Hill, who was behind much of their success. But last season can teach us a lesson about this Chiefs offense. Throughout parts of last season they looked lost and there were legitimate concerns about the resolve of Mahomes and the Chiefs. The teams just sat around and played two high safeties against the Chiefs and asked them to run the football, dink and dunk on the field. The defenses were able to suppress as much of the talents of Mahomes and Hill as possible. We saw a rift in the Chiefs’ armor for the first time in years.

So they pivoted. They saved money, amassed interim capital by trading Hill, and created a new group of playmakers that won’t replace the void Hill left, but change it completely. Three years ago, JuJu Smith-Schuster was a 22-year-old budding superstar. Injuries and Ben Roethlisberger made us forget that, but Smith-Schuster is still only 25 and has the talent he showed so young. The Chiefs will also always have the “speed to get the upper hand of the defense” in Marquez Valdes-Scantling and Mecole Hardman. They added Skyy Moore in the draft to add depth to this group and let’s not forget how good Kelce is. Yes, he’s 32 now, but the way Kelce plays the game will age gracefully. The way Kelce can attack areas and the mind meld he and Mahomes share is hard to defend against.

Despite Orlando Brown’s drama this offseason, he’s back and the Chiefs will once again have one of the best offensive lines in the league. Clyde Edwards-Helaire is fully healthy for the first time since his rookie season, and the Chiefs have exciting playmakers in Jerick McKinnon, Isiah Pacheco and Ronald Jones to add depth in the backfield. Throw all those point guards with that offensive line into a pot, and it might not be the best stew, but we have to remember that Reid and Mahomes are the bosses. Both are elite, if not the best, at what they do, and I’ll bet on them to keep doing it, even if it’s not in the same Mahomes-to-Hill deep bomb mode that we have become so accustomed to seeing.

Another reason I like this bet is the Chiefs schedule. We all know the AFC West is an absolute gauntlet full of big offenses. Take a look at the other side of the ball for Kansas City, and it’s not hard to realize the Chiefs will need to rack up points and win shootouts against these teams.

Heading into the season, the Chiefs are my highest-ranked offensive unit, and with Reid and Mahomes, I don’t think this team is skipping a beat. When you watch a Chiefs vs Chargers game in late November this season and Mahomes hits Kelce to take a 38-35 lead, you’ll be glad you made that bet.

Matthew Freedman’s best bets after the 2022 NFL Draft >>

DEC fall 2022

Subscribe: Apple podcast | Spotify | Google Podcasts | embroiderer | RadioPublic | Breaker | Castbox | Pocket casts

Whether you’re new to sports betting or you’re a betting pro, our How to bet and Sports betting strategy and advice the pages are for you. You can start with our Sports Betting 101 section – including 10 sports betting tips for beginners – or head to more advanced sports betting strategies – like Key numbers when betting against the spread – to learn more.

NFL, Choice